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D. Madryn vs San Miguel Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 18 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 18:00

D. Madryn

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

San Miguel

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-19.8%0-22.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.9%1-111.5%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.3%2-16.8%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.8%3-12.6%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 48.7% — —

Draw 31.8% — —

Away win 19.5% — —

Over 2.5 34.9% — —

Over 3.5 18.2% — —

BTTS 44.2% — —

Win probability 1X2

D. Madryn (H) 48.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

San Miguel (A) 19.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 121 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 71%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 47%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.2%

H 49% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.9%

#2 1–0 20.9%

#3 1–1 11.5%

#4 2–0 12.3%

#5 0–1 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

D. Madryn1.2

San Miguel0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

D. MADRYN · PPG 1.71

SAN MIGUEL · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=48.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Madryn face San Miguel in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Madryn a 49% chance, the draw 32% and San Miguel 20%, so D. Madryn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for D. Madryn and 0.6 for San Miguel (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Madryn are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.71 for San Miguel.

D. Madryn vs San Miguel Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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