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Paysandu vs Inter Limeira Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, June 14, 2026, 19:00

Paysandu

PPG 2.20 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Inter Limeira

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.2% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-19.8%0-25.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.6%1-112.9%1-27.2%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.6%2-18.5%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.4%3-13.7%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.3% 55.6% 1.80 -29.3%

Draw 27.3% 30.8% 3.25 -6.8%

Away win 33.3% 24.4% 4.10 +36.5%

Over 2.5 48.9% 48.8% 2.05 +0.2%

Over 3.5 28.1% 27.0% 3.70 +2.4%

BTTS 52.2% 54.1% 1.85 -3.4%

Home O1.5 41.6% 50.0% 2.00 -16.8%

Away O1.5 32.8% 28.2% 3.55 +16.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -44.4%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 17%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.2%

H 39% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.8%

#3 1–0 11.6%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 0–1 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paysandu1.3

Inter Limeira1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PAYSANDU · PPG 2.20

INTER LIMEIRA · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.20), Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Win probability 1X2

Paysandu (H) 39.3%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -29.3%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -6.8%

Inter Limeira (A) 33.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +36.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Paysandu face Inter Limeira in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paysandu a 39% chance, the draw 27% and Inter Limeira 33%, so Paysandu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Paysandu and 1.1 for Inter Limeira (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paysandu are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 2.50 for Inter Limeira. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +36.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Paysandu vs Inter Limeira Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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