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Jaro II vs JS Hercules Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C · Group C · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 13:00

Jaro II

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

JS Hercules

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 81.2% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.4%0-20.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-00.8%1-11.7%1-21.9%1-31.4%1-4+1.3%2 2-01.6%2-13.5%2-23.8%2-32.8%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.1%3-14.7%3-25.2%3-33.8%3-4+3.6%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-113.8%4+-215.4%4+-311.4%4+-4+10.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 63.0% 1.29 -18.7%

Draw 18.0% 5.00 -6.0%

Away win 19.0% 7.00 +19.8%

Over 2.5 81.2% 1.17 -5.0%

Over 3.5 67.2% 1.40 -5.9%

BTTS 67.3% 1.30 -12.5%

Win probability 1X2

Jaro II (H) 63.0%

ODDS 1.29 · IMPLIED 77.5% EV -18.7%

Draw 18.0%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -6.0%

JS Hercules (A) 19.0%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +19.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 33%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 61%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob67.3%

H 63% / xG 4.0-2.2 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–2 5.2%

#2 3–2 5.2%

#3 4–1 4.7%

#4 3–1 4.7%

#5 5–2 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jaro II4.0

JS Hercules2.2

COMBINED 6.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.2% · O3.5 PROB 67.2%

Form & verdict PPG

JARO II · PPG 3.00

JS HERCULES · PPG 1.00

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=63.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jaro II face JS Hercules in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jaro II a 63% chance, the draw 18% and JS Hercules 19%, so Jaro II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.0 for Jaro II and 2.2 for JS Hercules (6.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jaro II are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.00 for JS Hercules. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +61.6%.

Jaro II vs JS Hercules Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Match Preview & Prediction

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