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V. Olafsvik vs Magni Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Iceland - 2. Deild · Regular Season - 8 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 16:00

V. Olafsvik

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Magni

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.6%0-20.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.5%1-12.3%1-21.7%1-30.9%1-4+0.4%2 2-03.2%2-14.7%2-23.5%2-31.8%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.3%3-16.4%3-24.8%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-013.1%4+-119.5%4+-214.6%4+-37.3%4+-4+3.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 63.9% — —

Draw 17.9% — —

Away win 18.2% — —

Over 2.5 80.9% — —

Over 3.5 58.6% — —

BTTS 66.7% — —

Win probability 1X2

V. Olafsvik (H) 63.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Magni (A) 18.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob66.7%

H 64% / xG 4.1-1.5 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.5%

#2 3–1 6.4%

#3 5–1 5.3%

#4 4–2 4.9%

#5 3–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

V. Olafsvik4.1

Magni1.5

COMBINED 5.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.9% · O3.5 PROB 58.6%

Form & verdict PPG

V. OLAFSVIK · PPG 1.25

MAGNI · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.60)

Match Preview & Prediction

V. Olafsvik face Magni in Iceland - 2. Deild on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives V. Olafsvik a 64% chance, the draw 18% and Magni 18%, so V. Olafsvik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.1 for V. Olafsvik and 1.5 for Magni (5.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, V. Olafsvik are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.60 for Magni.

V. Olafsvik vs Magni Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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