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Skeid vs Rana Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, June 14, 2026, 11:00

Skeid

PPG 1.50 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Rana

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.7% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.9%0-24.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.3%1-112.1%1-27.1%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.8%2-19.2%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.0%3-14.6%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.5%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% 59.5% 1.68 -22.1%

Draw 25.2% 27.0% 3.70 -4.1%

Away win 28.4% 23.1% 4.33 +13.8%

Over 2.5 54.4% 58.8% 1.70 -7.5%

Over 3.5 32.5% 36.4% 2.75 -10.6%

BTTS 55.7% 60.6% 1.65 -8.1%

Home O1.5 45.7% 59.9% 1.67 -23.7%

Away O1.5 32.8% 33.3% 3.00 -1.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.7%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 0–0 6.8%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skeid1.5

Rana1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SKEID · PPG 1.50

RANA · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Skeid (H) 46.4%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -22.1%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -4.1%

Rana (A) 28.4%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +13.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skeid face Rana in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skeid a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Rana 28%, so Skeid are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Skeid and 1.2 for Rana (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skeid are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Rana. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.8%. This match finished 3-3.

Skeid vs Rana Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions