Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 / Jerv vs Sandviken

Jerv vs Sandviken Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Norway - 2. Division - Group 1  · Regular Season - 10  · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 12:30

Jerv logo
Jerv
PPG 2.50 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Sandviken logo
Sandviken
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=57.7%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-15.3%0-21.9%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.1%1-19.9%1-23.5%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.3%2-19.4%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.4%3-15.9%3-22.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-14.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 57.7%
Draw 23.0%
Away win 19.3%
Over 2.5 48.9%
Over 3.5 28.1%
BTTS 47.8%

Win probability 1X2

Jerv (H) 57.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sandviken (A) 19.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5 19%
BTTS 38%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -100.0%
Bet Hit 0%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 33%HUNT CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.8%

H 58% / xG 1.9-0.7 / O2.5 49% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.3%
#2 1–0 14.1%
#3 1–1 9.9%
#4 2–1 9.4%
#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jerv1.9
Sandviken0.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JERV · PPG 2.50

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=57.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jerv face Sandviken in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jerv a 58% chance, the draw 23% and Sandviken 19%, so Jerv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Jerv and 0.7 for Sandviken (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jerv are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Sandviken.

PredictVantage

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