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Sotra vs Brattvag Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, June 14, 2026, 11:00

Sotra

PPG 1.75 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Brattvag

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-17.5%0-24.7%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.4%1-111.7%1-27.3%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.3%2-19.2%2-25.7%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.8%3-14.8%3-23.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.7%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% 52.4% 1.91 -14.4%

Draw 24.4% 27.4% 3.65 -6.6%

Away win 30.8% 30.8% 3.25 +0.1%

Over 2.5 60.6% 60.6% 1.65 -0.0%

Over 3.5 37.0% 38.5% 2.60 -3.8%

BTTS 60.5% 64.5% 1.55 -6.2%

Home O1.5 49.3% 56.5% 1.77 -12.7%

Away O1.5 33.0% 40.8% 2.45 -19.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -42.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.5%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 0–0 6.0%

#4 1–0 9.4%

#5 2–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sotra1.6

Brattvag1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SOTRA · PPG 1.75

BRATTVAG · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Sotra (H) 44.8%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -14.4%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -6.6%

Brattvag (A) 30.8%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +0.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sotra face Brattvag in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sotra a 45% chance, the draw 24% and Brattvag 31%, so Sotra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sotra and 1.3 for Brattvag (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sotra are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.80 for Brattvag. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Sotra vs Brattvag Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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