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Vancouver FC vs Pacific Prediction— Canada - Canadian Premier League

Canada - Canadian Premier League  · Group Stage  · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 22:00

Vancouver FC logo
Vancouver FC
PPG 0.80 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Pacific logo
Pacific
PPG 0.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-110.8%0-24.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.1%1-113.1%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.2%2-18.0%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.7%3-13.2%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 45.5% 1.65 -24.9%
Draw 29.3% 4.00 +10.3%
Away win 25.2% 4.30 +5.0%
Over 2.5 47.1% 1.55 -27.0%
Over 3.5 28.1% 2.40 -19.5%
BTTS 47.8% 1.55 -25.9%

Win probability 1X2

Vancouver FC (H) 45.5%
ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -24.9%
Draw 29.3%
ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +10.3%
Pacific (A) 25.2%
ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +5.0%

League track record

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 43%
BTTS 71%
Score Hit 57%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%HUNT CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.8%

H 46% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%
#2 0–0 12.4%
#3 1–0 15.1%
#4 2–0 9.2%
#5 0–1 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vancouver FC1.2
Pacific0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VANCOUVER FC · PPG 0.80

PACIFIC · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away POOR (0.67)

Match Preview & Prediction

Vancouver FC face Pacific in Canada - Canadian Premier League on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vancouver FC a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Pacific 25%, so Vancouver FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vancouver FC and 0.9 for Pacific (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vancouver FC are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 0.67 for Pacific. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +10.3%.

PredictVantage

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