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Kormakur/Hvot vs KFG Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Iceland - 2. Deild · Regular Season - 8 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 16:00

Kormakur/Hvot

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

KFG

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 7.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.1%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.5%1-10.5%1-20.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-01.4%2-11.5%2-20.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.8%3-13.1%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-028.2%4+-131.3%4+-217.4%4+-36.5%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 76.9% — —

Draw 14.8% — —

Away win 8.3% — —

Over 2.5 81.2% — —

Over 3.5 71.0% — —

BTTS 63.7% — —

Win probability 1X2

Kormakur/Hvot (H) 76.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KFG (A) 8.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)6.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob63.7%

H 77% / xG 6.1-1.1 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–1 5.8%

#2 5–0 5.2%

#3 4–1 4.7%

#4 4–0 4.3%

#5 5–2 3.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kormakur/Hvot6.1

KFG1.1

COMBINED 7.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.2% · O3.5 PROB 71.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KORMAKUR/HVOT · PPG 3.00

KFG · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Match Preview & Prediction

Kormakur/Hvot face KFG in Iceland - 2. Deild on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kormakur/Hvot a 77% chance, the draw 15% and KFG 8%, so Kormakur/Hvot are favoured to win. Expected goals are 6.1 for Kormakur/Hvot and 1.1 for KFG (7.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kormakur/Hvot are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.00 for KFG.

Kormakur/Hvot vs KFG Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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