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Kormakur/Hvot vs KFG Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, June 14, 2026, 16:00

Kormakur/Hvot

PPG 3.00 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

KFG

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.1%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.5%1-10.5%1-20.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-01.4%2-11.5%2-20.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.8%3-13.1%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-028.2%4+-131.3%4+-217.4%4+-36.5%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.9% — — —

Draw 14.8% — — —

Away win 8.3% — — —

Over 2.5 81.2% — — —

Over 3.5 71.0% — — —

BTTS 63.7% — — —

Home O1.5 84.5% — — —

Away O1.5 32.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)6.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob63.7%

H 77% / xG 6.1-1.1 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–1 5.8%

#2 5–0 5.2%

#3 4–1 4.7%

#4 4–0 4.3%

#5 5–2 3.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kormakur/Hvot6.1

KFG1.1

COMBINED 7.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.2% · O3.5 PROB 71.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KORMAKUR/HVOT · PPG 3.00

KFG · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Kormakur/Hvot (H) 76.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KFG (A) 8.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kormakur/Hvot face KFG in Iceland - 2. Deild on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kormakur/Hvot a 77% chance, the draw 15% and KFG 8%, so Kormakur/Hvot are favoured to win. Expected goals are 6.1 for Kormakur/Hvot and 1.1 for KFG (7.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kormakur/Hvot are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.00 for KFG. This match finished 2-3.

Kormakur/Hvot vs KFG Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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