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Sandviken vs Brage Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Sweden - Superettan · Regular Season - 12 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 15:00

Sandviken

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brage

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.7% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-110.0%0-26.8%0-33.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.1%1-112.5%1-28.6%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.7%2-17.8%2-25.3%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.4%3-13.2%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 39.7% 2.10 -16.6%

Draw 24.8% 3.65 -5.7%

Away win 35.5% 3.20 +13.6%

Over 2.5 54.4% 1.67 -9.2%

Over 3.5 32.5% 2.65 -13.9%

BTTS 55.7% 1.53 -14.8%

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 39.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -16.6%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -5.7%

Brage (A) 35.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +13.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 2.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.7%

A 36% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.2%

#3 1–2 8.6%

#4 0–1 10.0%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken1.3

Brage1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.33

BRAGE · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face Brage in Sweden - Superettan on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Brage 36%, so Sandviken are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sandviken and 1.4 for Brage (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Brage. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.6%.

Sandviken vs Brage Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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