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Sandviken vs Brage Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, June 14, 2026, 15:00

Sandviken

PPG 1.33 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Brage

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.7% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-110.0%0-26.8%0-33.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.1%1-112.5%1-28.6%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.7%2-17.8%2-25.3%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.4%3-13.2%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.7% 47.6% 2.10 -16.6%

Draw 24.8% 27.4% 3.65 -5.7%

Away win 35.5% 31.3% 3.20 +13.6%

Over 2.5 54.4% 59.9% 1.67 -9.2%

Over 3.5 32.5% 37.7% 2.65 -13.9%

BTTS 55.7% 65.4% 1.53 -14.8%

Home O1.5 41.6% 54.1% 1.85 -23.0%

Away O1.5 33.0% 41.7% 2.40 -20.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -3.9%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.7%

A 36% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.2%

#3 1–2 8.6%

#4 0–1 10.0%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken1.3

Brage1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.33

BRAGE · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 39.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -16.6%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -5.7%

Brage (A) 35.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +13.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face Brage in Sweden - Superettan on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Brage 36%, so Sandviken are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sandviken and 1.4 for Brage (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Brage. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.6%. This match finished 3-2.

Sandviken vs Brage Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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