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T. Zhodino vs Slavia Mozyr Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Belarus - Premier League · Regular Season - 11 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 17:00

T. Zhodino

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Slavia Mozyr

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-110.6%0-23.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-112.6%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.7%2-17.4%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.2%3-12.9%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 48.3% 2.20 +6.3%

Draw 28.9% 2.90 -9.7%

Away win 22.8% 3.10 -17.6%

Over 2.5 38.5% 2.31 -11.1%

Over 3.5 22.1% 4.05 -6.3%

BTTS 47.8% 1.91 -8.7%

Win probability 1X2

T. Zhodino (H) 48.3%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +6.3%

Draw 28.9%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -9.7%

Slavia Mozyr (A) 22.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -17.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 30%

Score Hit 33%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.8%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.4%

#2 1–0 18.2%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.7%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Zhodino1.2

Slavia Mozyr0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.1%

Form & verdict PPG

T. ZHODINO · PPG 1.33

SLAVIA MOZYR · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.75)

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Zhodino face Slavia Mozyr in Belarus - Premier League on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Zhodino a 48% chance, the draw 29% and Slavia Mozyr 23%, so T. Zhodino are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for T. Zhodino and 0.7 for Slavia Mozyr (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Zhodino are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.75 for Slavia Mozyr. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.3%.

T. Zhodino vs Slavia Mozyr Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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