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Racing Cordoba vs Chaco For Ever Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, June 14, 2026, 19:00

Racing Cordoba logo
Racing Cordoba
PPG 1.50 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
Chaco For Ever logo
Chaco For Ever
PPG 0.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.8%0-111.3%0-23.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.4%1-112.3%1-23.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.6%2-16.7%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.8%3-12.4%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 44.6% 52.6% 1.90 -15.3%
Draw 32.1% 37.0% 2.70 -13.3%
Away win 23.3% 20.0% 5.00 +9.9%
Over 2.5 37.8% 33.3% 3.00 +13.4%
Over 3.5 18.5% 15.4% 6.50 +12.2%
BTTS 47.6% 41.7% 2.40 +14.2%
Home O1.5 36.8% 40.0% 2.50 -8.0%
Away O1.5 20.8% 19.0% 5.25 +5.5%

League track record

Based on 195 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 67%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 66%
ROI -2.0%
Bet Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.6%

H 45% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.8%
#2 1–0 19.4%
#3 1–1 12.3%
#4 2–0 10.6%
#5 0–1 11.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Cordoba1.1
Chaco For Ever0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 1.50

CHACO FOR EVER · PPG 0.38

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=44.6%

Win probability 1X2

Racing Cordoba (H) 44.6%
ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -15.3%
Draw 32.1%
ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -13.3%
Chaco For Ever (A) 23.3%
ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +9.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Cordoba face Chaco For Ever in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Cordoba a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Chaco For Ever 23%, so Racing Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Racing Cordoba and 0.6 for Chaco For Ever (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Cordoba are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.38 for Chaco For Ever. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +14.2%. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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