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Nantong Zhiyun vs Yanbian Longdin Prediction— China - League One

Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, June 14, 2026, 11:30

Nantong Zhiyun

PPG 3.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Yanbian Longdin

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.4%0-114.8%0-24.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.7%1-112.4%1-24.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.8%2-15.2%2-21.7%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.2%3-11.4%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% 52.6% 1.90 -24.8%

Draw 32.6% 32.3% 3.10 +1.1%

Away win 27.8% 24.4% 4.10 +8.4%

Over 2.5 34.9% 45.5% 2.20 -23.2%

Over 3.5 18.2% 23.8% 4.20 -14.1%

BTTS 47.6% 51.3% 1.95 -7.2%

Home O1.5 33.0% 47.6% 2.10 -30.7%

Away O1.5 24.3% 26.7% 3.75 -5.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -40.4%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.6%

H 40% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.4%

#2 1–0 18.7%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 0–1 14.8%

#5 2–0✓ 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nantong Zhiyun0.8

Yanbian Longdin0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NANTONG ZHIYUN · PPG 3.00

YANBIAN LONGDIN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=39.6%

Win probability 1X2

Nantong Zhiyun (H) 39.6%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -24.8%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +1.1%

Yanbian Longdin (A) 27.8%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nantong Zhiyun face Yanbian Longdin in China - League One on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nantong Zhiyun a 40% chance, the draw 33% and Yanbian Longdin 28%, so Nantong Zhiyun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Nantong Zhiyun and 0.7 for Yanbian Longdin (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nantong Zhiyun are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Yanbian Longdin. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Nantong Zhiyun vs Yanbian Longdin Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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