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Lorenskog vs Tromsdalen Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 · Regular Season - 10 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 12:00

Lorenskog

PPG 2.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tromsdalen

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-15.1%0-23.5%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-07.1%1-19.8%1-26.7%1-33.1%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-19.4%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.4%3-16.0%3-24.1%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.5%4+-23.1%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 48.9% 2.05 +0.2%

Draw 24.0% 3.65 -7.4%

Away win 27.1% 3.00 -11.2%

Over 2.5 60.6% 1.55 -6.1%

Over 3.5 39.8% 2.38 -5.3%

BTTS 61.6% 1.45 -10.7%

Win probability 1X2

Lorenskog (H) 48.9%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +0.2%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -7.4%

Tromsdalen (A) 27.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -11.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 31%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.6%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lorenskog1.9

Tromsdalen1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LORENSKOG · PPG 2.25

TROMSDALEN · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.25) > Away GOOD (1.75)

Match Preview & Prediction

Lorenskog face Tromsdalen in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lorenskog a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Tromsdalen 27%, so Lorenskog are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Lorenskog and 1.4 for Tromsdalen (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lorenskog are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.75 for Tromsdalen. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +3.4%.

Lorenskog vs Tromsdalen Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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