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Narpes Kraft vs Huima/Urho Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C · Group C · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 15:30

Narpes Kraft

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Huima/Urho

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 81.2% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.4%0-20.6%0-30.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-00.6%1-11.6%1-22.3%1-32.1%1-4+3.0%2 2-01.0%2-12.9%2-24.1%2-33.9%2-4+5.5%3 3-01.3%3-13.5%3-25.0%3-34.7%3-4+6.6%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-18.3%4+-211.7%4+-311.0%4+-4+15.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 52.2% 2.30 +20.1%

Draw 18.4% 3.80 -18.1%

Away win 29.4% 2.30 -19.4%

Over 2.5 81.2% 1.22 -0.9%

Over 3.5 71.0% 1.57 +11.5%

BTTS 68.0% 1.22 -17.0%

Win probability 1X2

Narpes Kraft (H) 52.2%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +20.1%

Draw 18.4%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -18.1%

Huima/Urho (A) 29.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -19.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 33%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 50%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob68.0%

H 52% / xG 3.6-2.8 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 5.0%

#2 3–3 4.7%

#3 4–2 4.5%

#4 4–3 4.3%

#5 2–2 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Narpes Kraft3.6

Huima/Urho2.8

COMBINED 6.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.2% · O3.5 PROB 71.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NARPES KRAFT · PPG 1.00

HUIMA/URHO · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Narpes Kraft face Huima/Urho in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Narpes Kraft a 52% chance, the draw 18% and Huima/Urho 29%, so Narpes Kraft are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Narpes Kraft and 2.8 for Huima/Urho (6.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Narpes Kraft are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Huima/Urho. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +55.2%.

Narpes Kraft vs Huima/Urho Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Match Preview & Prediction

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