Today / Norway - 1. Division / Haugesund vs Ranheim

Haugesund vs Ranheim Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Norway - 1. Division · Regular Season - 11 · Sunday, June 14, 2026, 14:00

Haugesund

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ranheim

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 81.2% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.4%0-20.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-00.8%1-11.7%1-21.9%1-31.4%1-4+1.3%2 2-01.5%2-13.5%2-23.9%2-32.9%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.1%3-14.6%3-25.2%3-33.9%3-4+3.6%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-113.7%4+-215.3%4+-311.4%4+-4+10.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 63.0% 1.77 +11.5%

Draw 18.0% 4.10 -15.7%

Away win 19.0% 3.45 -20.7%

Over 2.5 81.2% 1.30 +5.6%

Over 3.5 71.0% 1.77 +25.7%

BTTS 68.0% 1.30 -11.6%

Win probability 1X2

Haugesund (H) 63.0%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV +11.5%

Draw 18.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -15.7%

Ranheim (A) 19.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -20.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 14.1%

Bet Hit 70%

Hunt pick CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 60%HUNT CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob68.0%

H 63% / xG 4.0-2.2 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–2 5.2%

#2 3–2 5.2%

#3 4–1 4.7%

#4 3–1 4.6%

#5 5–2 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haugesund4.0

Ranheim2.2

COMBINED 6.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.2% · O3.5 PROB 71.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HAUGESUND · PPG 2.50

RANHEIM · PPG 0.75

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=63.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Haugesund face Ranheim in Norway - 1. Division on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haugesund a 63% chance, the draw 18% and Ranheim 19%, so Haugesund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.0 for Haugesund and 2.2 for Ranheim (6.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haugesund are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Ranheim. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +54.3%.

Haugesund vs Ranheim Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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