04:00
H
31.9% +21.2%
D
22.4% -10.3%
A
45.6% -20.2%
O2.5
O2.5 65.0% · BTTS 63.4%
3–3
HitFootball predictions today · Sat 20 Jun
189 graded O2.5 59% BTTS 62% 1X2 53% Full record →
04:00
H
53.9% -24.5%
D
22.3% +0.2%
A
23.9% +18.9%
O2.5
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 63.4%
1–1
Miss05:00
H
26.9% +2.9%
D
19.1% -15.3%
A
54.0% -9.8%
O2.5
+0.1%
O2.5 77.0% · BTTS 68.4%
1–0
Miss06:30
H
18.4% +6.2%
D
21.4% -2.2%
A
60.2% -18.1%
O2.5
O2.5 64.1% · BTTS 61.7%
2–1
Hit04:00
H
70.8% +1.9%
D
19.0% -12.1%
A
10.2% -23.3%
Home
+1.9%
O2.5 61.5% · BTTS 48.5%
3–2
Hit05:00
H
67.0% -10.9%
D
18.0% -6.0%
A
15.0% +3.0%
Home
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 61.5%
11–0
Hit05:00
H
35.6% -30.6%
D
28.0% -0.4%
A
36.4% +18.3%
BTTS
O2.5 51.2% · BTTS 55.9%
0–1
Miss04:30
H
19.3% -4.4%
D
16.5% -14.5%
A
64.1% -10.3%
O2.5
+0.4%
O2.5 83.7% · BTTS 72.4%
2–5
Hit05:00
H
19.5% -14.4%
D
22.3% -7.8%
A
58.2% -5.7%
O2.5
O2.5 64.0% · BTTS 60.2%
1–0
Miss05:00
H
68.7% -3.8%
D
16.8% -13.6%
A
14.5% -16.5%
O2.5
+6.5%
O2.5 83.2% · BTTS 63.4%
Pending
06:30
H
24.8% +10.7%
D
17.8% -13.0%
A
57.4% -17.3%
O2.5
O2.5 77.3% · BTTS 68.4%
1–2
Hit04:30
H
62.5% -20.0%
D
20.1% +5.1%
A
17.5% +9.3%
O2.5
O2.5 64.0% · BTTS 55.9%
2–2
Hit04:30
H
44.0% -7.6%
D
21.3% -10.2%
A
34.7% -11.5%
O2.5
O2.5 68.9% · BTTS 68.1%
3–2
Hit04:30
H
30.1% +26.4%
D
21.1% -8.1%
A
48.9% -23.2%
BTTS
O2.5 67.6% · BTTS 68.1%
Pending
04:30
H
17.2% +22.6%
D
17.2% -4.3%
A
65.6% -18.0%
O2.5
O2.5 72.6% · BTTS 63.4%
1–0
Miss05:00
H
46.4% -4.9%
D
25.4% -8.2%
A
28.2% -7.5%
BTTS
O2.5 54.0% · BTTS 55.9%
0–3
Miss07:00
H
40.8% -8.2%
D
30.9% +9.7%
A
28.3% -14.1%
No bet
O2.5 43.6% · BTTS 48.5%
2–0
Skipped07:00
H
24.8% +15.9%
D
24.6% -3.2%
A
50.6% -21.6%
O2.5
O2.5 59.8% · BTTS 55.9%
0–4
Hit09:15
H
32.5% -4.1%
D
31.5% +0.8%
A
36.0% -20.8%
No bet
O2.5 43.6% · BTTS 48.5%
1–0
Skipped05:00
H
49.7% -3.1%
D
22.6% -7.8%
A
27.8% -8.3%
O2.5
O2.5 65.1% · BTTS 63.4%
1–4
Hit08:00
H
49.8% -4.9%
D
22.4% -6.2%
A
27.9% -9.8%
BTTS
O2.5 67.4% · BTTS 68.1%
3–1
Hit08:00
H
56.5% -6.8%
D
19.9% -9.8%
A
23.6% -5.5%
O2.5
O2.5 72.6% · BTTS 68.1%
2–2
Hit05:30
H
53.8% -3.2%
D
22.4% -10.3%
A
23.8% -11.5%
O2.5
O2.5 61.1% · BTTS 58.6%
1–1
Miss05:30
H
52.4% +12.7%
D
20.8% -13.2%
A
26.8% -18.2%
O2.5
O2.5 71.9% · BTTS 68.1%
4–1
Hit05:30
H
72.7% -14.2%
D
17.8% +1.4%
A
9.5% -3.0%
O2.5
O2.5 77.0% · BTTS 61.6%
6–0
Hit05:30
H
37.4%
D
21.5%
A
41.1%
— no odds —
BTTS
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 67.7%
5–5
Hit07:30
H
43.8% -1.5%
D
21.6% -11.4%
A
34.5% -17.2%
O2.5
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 63.4%
2–0
Miss09:30
H
34.3% -4.0%
D
24.0% -8.9%
A
41.7% -12.4%
O2.5
O2.5 64.0% · BTTS 61.7%
3–0
Hit07:00
H
52.2% +25.3%
D
20.8% -17.6%
A
27.0% -20.3%
O2.5
+4.5%
O2.5 72.6% · BTTS 68.4%
1–0
Miss07:00
H
50.9% -15.0%
D
22.1% -8.3%
A
27.1% +3.4%
O2.5
O2.5 65.7% · BTTS 63.4%
0–3
Hit07:00
H
28.6% -6.8%
D
22.0% -13.8%
A
49.3% -3.9%
O2.5
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 63.4%
1–2
Hit07:00
H
45.2%
D
22.3%
A
32.5%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 63.4%
0–3
Hit07:00
H
30.8% +1.6%
D
21.2% -14.2%
A
48.0% -11.2%
O2.5
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 65.7%
4–4
Hit09:00
H
13.3%
D
17.8%
A
68.9%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 79.9% · BTTS 68.2%
1–1
Miss
10:00
H
80.3%
D
12.6%
A
7.1%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 77.0% · BTTS 48.5%
8–1
Hit12:30
H
19.1%
D
22.3%
A
58.7%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 64.0% · BTTS 55.9%
1–0
Miss12:30
H
50.0%
D
22.4%
A
27.6%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 63.4%
3–3
Hit14:00
H
61.6% -13.8%
D
21.0% -9.6%
A
17.4% +0.5%
Home
O2.5 54.0% · BTTS 48.5%
0–1
Miss15:00
H
42.9% -7.8%
D
23.7% -14.5%
A
33.4% -6.5%
BTTS
O2.5 58.0% · BTTS 60.2%
3–2
Hit
10:00
H
49.0%
D
27.4%
A
23.6%
— no odds —
BTTS
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 52.6%
3–2
Hit10:00
H
35.4%
D
28.1%
A
36.5%
— no odds —
BTTS
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 52.6%
1–3
Hit
11:15
H
35.4%
D
28.1%
A
36.5%
— no odds —
BTTS
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 52.6%
3–2
Hit13:30
H
35.4% +2.7%
D
28.1% -4.4%
A
36.5% -19.7%
BTTS
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 52.6%
1–2
Hit15:30
H
35.6% +2.5%
D
33.3% +6.6%
A
31.0% -30.3%
No bet
O2.5 37.4% · BTTS 48.5%
3–0
Skipped
11:30
H
20.6% +8.0%
D
24.1% -7.9%
A
55.3% -15.4%
Away
O2.5 54.0% · BTTS 52.6%
0–2
Hit13:30
H
29.8% -11.7%
D
33.2% -3.7%
A
37.0% -7.5%
No bet
O2.5 37.4% · BTTS 48.5%
0–2
Skipped15:30
H
31.8% +3.4%
D
32.6% +1.1%
A
35.6% -27.0%
No bet
O2.5 40.1% · BTTS 48.5%
1–2
Skipped17:30
H
55.9% -14.5%
D
24.2% -9.2%
A
19.9% +11.6%
Home
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 48.5%
2–0
Hit12:00
H
52.7% -18.3%
D
27.3% +5.5%
A
20.0% 0.0%
Home
O2.5 47.6% · BTTS 48.5%
2–0
Hit12:00
H
50.3%
D
25.1%
A
24.6%
— no odds —
BTTS
O2.5 54.0% · BTTS 55.9%
2–3
Hit13:00
H
64.3% -21.6%
D
18.1% +3.0%
A
17.6% +41.4%
Home
O2.5 64.1% · BTTS 55.9%
3–1
Hit13:00
H
40.7% -0.3%
D
28.1% -1.0%
A
31.3% -23.3%
BTTS
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 52.6%
1–2
Hit13:30
H
35.4% +9.7%
D
28.1% +0.7%
A
36.5% -27.0%
BTTS
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 52.6%
2–1
Hit12:00
H
64.8% -15.8%
D
17.4% -3.6%
A
17.9% +12.5%
O2.5
+3.4%
O2.5 79.5% · BTTS 63.8%
3–0
Hit12:00
H
57.2% +1.2%
D
22.5% -8.7%
A
20.3% -15.5%
O2.5
O2.5 63.1% · BTTS 55.9%
2–1
Hit12:30
H
50.1% -25.9%
D
22.3% -3.8%
A
27.5% +29.1%
O2.5
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 63.4%
2–4
Hit
13:00
H
47.8% -11.6%
D
29.3% -1.1%
A
23.0% -7.6%
No bet
O2.5 37.9% · BTTS 48.5%
1–0
Skipped
14:00
H
28.8% -16.4%
D
27.8% -8.3%
A
43.4% +23.7%
BTTS
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 51.5%
2–0
Miss22:00
H
39.7% -25.8%
D
32.8% +6.6%
A
27.5% +12.6%
No bet
O2.5 37.4% · BTTS 48.2%
0–1
Skipped22:00
H
44.7% +4.6%
D
29.8% -4.6%
A
25.5% -11.8%
No bet
O2.5 43.9% · BTTS 48.5%
4–3
Skipped
14:00
H
52.6% -26.4%
D
24.1% -2.2%
A
23.3% +37.9%
Home
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 52.6%
Pending
14:00
H
12.6%
D
17.9%
A
69.5%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 72.6% · BTTS 61.7%
4–1
Hit15:00
H
43.6% +70.0%
D
21.7% -11.2%
A
34.7% -42.0%
BTTS
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 66.2%
0–6
Miss16:00
H
63.4% -8.7%
D
17.2% -16.7%
A
19.4% -4.1%
O2.5
+3.3%
O2.5 80.7% · BTTS 68.1%
1–0
Miss
17:30
H
39.9% +23.7%
D
32.5% +10.5%
A
27.6% -26.1%
No bet
O2.5 39.8% · BTTS 48.5%
1–1
Skipped18:00
H
69.1% -17.1%
D
18.6% +1.4%
A
12.3% +21.2%
Home
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 55.3%
Pending
18:00
H
35.1% -5.2%
D
37.9% -1.5%
A
27.1% -12.8%
No bet
O2.5 26.7% · BTTS 31.6%
1–2
Skipped18:00
H
35.5% -5.9%
D
36.1% -4.3%
A
28.3% -11.1%
No bet
O2.5 29.6% · BTTS 44.1%
2–0
Skipped19:30
H
39.7% -16.6%
D
32.8% -3.2%
A
27.5% -1.4%
No bet
O2.5 35.8% · BTTS 47.8%
2–0
Skipped20:00
H
36.4% -29.0%
D
34.6% +2.1%
A
29.0% +8.7%
No bet
O2.5 35.8% · BTTS 47.8%
2–0
Skipped22:00
H
47.8%
D
29.3%
A
23.0%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 37.4% · BTTS 48.5%
0–1
Skipped23:30
H
49.0% -6.4%
D
27.4% -9.0%
A
23.6% -5.5%
No bet
O2.5 47.6% · BTTS 48.5%
0–0
Skipped
23:00
H
18.4% -4.8%
D
24.7% -0.7%
A
56.8% -12.0%
Away
O2.5 47.8% · BTTS 48.5%
0–2
Hit23:00
H
31.8% -30.0%
D
32.6% +4.3%
A
35.6% +5.0%
No bet
O2.5 37.4% · BTTS 48.3%
0–0
Skipped23:00
H
20.9% +10.2%
D
21.1% -4.3%
A
58.0% -16.5%
O2.5
+6.8%
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 63.4%
2–5
Hit—
H
32.9%
D
30.8%
A
36.4%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 44.9% · BTTS 48.5%
1–0
Skipped—
H
12.8%
D
20.4%
A
66.8%
— no odds —
Away
O2.5 62.1% · BTTS 52.6%
0–3
Hit—
H
22.9%
D
39.4%
A
37.7%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 29.6% · BTTS 43.2%
1–1
Skipped—
H
68.5%
D
21.7%
A
9.8%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 44.1%
0–1
Miss—
H
38.4%
D
27.3%
A
34.3%
— no odds —
BTTS
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 52.6%
3–2
Hit—
H
49.7%
D
22.6%
A
27.8%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 63.4%
1–3
Hit—
H
57.5%
D
23.9%
A
18.7%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 48.5%
3–1
Hit—
H
38.3%
D
20.4%
A
41.3%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 79.7% · BTTS 68.4%
2–2
Hit—
H
12.6%
D
18.0%
A
69.4%
— no odds —
Away
O2.5 64.1% · BTTS 52.6%
0–2
Hit—
H
53.8%
D
22.4%
A
23.8%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 61.1% · BTTS 55.9%
3–2
Hit—
H
46.4%
D
20.0%
A
33.6%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 77.8% · BTTS 68.4%
1–1
Miss—
H
61.9%
D
20.6%
A
17.5%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 61.1% · BTTS 53.1%
1–0
Hit—
H
45.3%
D
27.9%
A
26.8%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 47.6% · BTTS 48.5%
Pending
How the model calls it
01 · Strength
Attack and defence ratings per team from recent form, weighted by opposition — the inputs behind expected goals.
02 · Poisson
Goal expectancies become a full scoreline matrix: win, draw, Over 2.5, BTTS and top correct scores from one distribution.
03 · Edge
Model probability vs live bookmaker odds. A positive gap is value, flagged on every outcome as +EV%. No edge, no bet.
Questions, answered straight
How accurate are these football predictions?
Every pick is graded automatically at full time and kept on the public record. The full history, including losing days, is on the Accuracy page.
What is a value bet?
A bet where the model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. If the model says 49% and the odds imply 34%, that gap is the edge — shown as +EV% next to each outcome. Value bets can still lose; the point is being paid more than the risk is worth over hundreds of bets.
How does a Poisson model predict matches?
It estimates how many goals each team is expected to score from attack and defence strength, then computes the probability of every scoreline. Summing those scorelines gives win/draw/loss, Over/Under and BTTS probabilities from a single consistent model.
Are the predictions free?
Yes — every match, every league, every day.
Why does the model say "No bet" on some matches?
When no outcome clears the confidence threshold, the model passes. Skipping bad spots is part of how the hit rate stays honest — a tip site that picks every match is selling volume, not edge.