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San Telmo vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 4 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 18:00

San Telmo

PPG 1.22 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Racing Cordoba

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.0%0-115.3%0-25.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.0%1-112.5%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.4%2-15.1%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.0%3-11.4%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 35.5% 2.65 -5.9%

Draw 36.1% 2.65 -4.3%

Away win 28.3% 2.88 -11.1%

Over 2.5 29.6% 2.95 -7.6%

Over 3.5 12.1% 7.00 -9.2%

BTTS 44.1% 2.25 -0.8%

Win probability 1X2

San Telmo (H) 35.5%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -5.9%

Draw 36.1%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -4.3%

Racing Cordoba (A) 28.3%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -11.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.1%

D 36% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.0%

#2 1–0 18.0%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 0–1 15.3%

#5 2–0✓ 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Telmo0.8

Racing Cordoba0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.6% · O3.5 PROB 12.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN TELMO · PPG 1.22

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.22) > Away POOR (0.63)

Match Preview & Prediction

San Telmo face Racing Cordoba in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Telmo a 36% chance, the draw 36% and Racing Cordoba 28%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for San Telmo and 0.7 for Racing Cordoba (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Telmo are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.63 for Racing Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +8.5%. This match finished 2-0.

San Telmo vs Racing Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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