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Molde W vs Haugesund W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 12:30

Molde W

PPG 0.80 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Haugesund W

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.7%0-22.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-05.5%1-18.2%1-26.1%1-33.0%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.1%2-19.0%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.4%3-16.6%3-24.9%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-16.0%4+-24.5%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 50.0% — —

Draw 22.4% — —

Away win 27.6% — —

Over 2.5 65.9% — —

Over 3.5 42.7% — —

BTTS 63.4% — —

Win probability 1X2

Molde W (H) 50.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Haugesund W (A) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 28%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 50% / xG 2.2-1.5 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 1–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Molde W2.2

Haugesund W1.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MOLDE W · PPG 0.80

HAUGESUND W · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away POOR (0.80)

Match Preview & Prediction

Molde W face Haugesund W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Molde W a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Haugesund W 28%, so Molde W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Molde W and 1.5 for Haugesund W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Molde W are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 0.80 for Haugesund W. This match finished 3-3.

Molde W vs Haugesund W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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