Today / Shelbourne W vs Sligo Rovers W

Shelbourne W vs Sligo Rovers W Prediction

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Shelbourne W
PPG 2.50 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Sligo Rovers W
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-15.2%0-22.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.7%1-110.2%1-24.4%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.4%2-19.9%2-24.3%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.4%3-16.4%3-22.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-14.8%4+-22.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 53.8%
Draw 22.4%
Away win 23.8%
Over 2.5 61.1%
Over 3.5 37.0%
BTTS 55.9%

Win probability 1X2

Shelbourne W (H) 53.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sligo Rovers W (A) 23.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.9%

H 54% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%
#2 2–0 11.4%
#3 1–0 11.7%
#4 2–1 9.9%
#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shelbourne W1.9
Sligo Rovers W0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.1% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SHELBOURNE W · PPG 2.50

SLIGO ROVERS W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=53.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Shelbourne W face Sligo Rovers W on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shelbourne W a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Sligo Rovers W 24%, so Shelbourne W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Shelbourne W and 0.9 for Sligo Rovers W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shelbourne W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Sligo Rovers W. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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