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Kvik Halden vs Sotra Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 13:30

Kvik Halden

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Sotra

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-113.4%0-28.6%0-33.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.2%1-113.1%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.0%2-16.4%2-24.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.6%3-12.1%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 3.10 +9.7%

Draw 28.1% 3.60 +0.7%

Away win 36.5% 2.00 -27.0%

Over 2.5 49.5% 1.62 -19.8%

Over 3.5 28.2% 2.50 -17.7%

BTTS 52.6% 1.50 -21.1%

Win probability 1X2

Kvik Halden (H) 35.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +9.7%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +0.7%

Sotra (A) 36.5%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -27.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 28%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -61.8%

Bet Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.6%

D 28% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.4%

#3 0–1 13.4%

#4 0–2 8.6%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kvik Halden1.0

Sotra1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KVIK HALDEN · PPG 2.00

SOTRA · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.20)

Match Preview & Prediction

Kvik Halden face Sotra in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kvik Halden a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Sotra 37%, so Sotra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kvik Halden and 1.3 for Sotra (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kvik Halden are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.20 for Sotra. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Kvik Halden vs Sotra Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 Predictions