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Cooks Hill Utd vs Weston Bears Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 04:00

Cooks Hill Utd

PPG 1.33 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Weston Bears

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-15.4%0-25.9%0-34.3%0-4+3.9%1 1-03.7%1-18.2%1-28.9%1-36.5%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.8%2-16.2%2-26.8%2-34.9%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.4%3-13.1%3-23.4%3-32.5%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.7%4+-21.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 31.9% 3.80 +21.2%

Draw 22.4% 3.70 -10.3%

Away win 45.6% 1.75 -20.2%

Over 2.5 65.0% 1.36 -11.6%

Over 3.5 42.7% 1.89 -19.3%

BTTS 63.4% 1.40 -11.2%

Win probability 1X2

Cooks Hill Utd (H) 31.9%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +21.2%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -10.3%

Weston Bears (A) 45.6%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -20.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 28.1%

Bet Hit 85%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.4%

A 46% / xG 1.5-2.2 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cooks Hill Utd1.5

Weston Bears2.2

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

COOKS HILL UTD · PPG 1.33

WESTON BEARS · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Match Preview & Prediction

Cooks Hill Utd face Weston Bears in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cooks Hill Utd a 32% chance, the draw 22% and Weston Bears 46%, so Weston Bears are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cooks Hill Utd and 2.2 for Weston Bears (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cooks Hill Utd are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 3.00 for Weston Bears. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.2%. This match finished 3-3.

Cooks Hill Utd vs Weston Bears Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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