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O. Kingsway vs Stirling Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 07:00

O. Kingsway

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stirling

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.7% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.2%0-23.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.9%1-18.8%1-26.5%1-33.2%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.2%3-16.3%3-24.7%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.2%4+-23.9%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.9% 59.9% 1.67 -15.0%

Draw 22.1% 25.6% 3.90 -8.3%

Away win 27.1% 25.6% 3.90 +3.4%

Over 2.5 65.7% 71.4% 1.40 -8.0%

Over 3.5 42.7% 50.0% 2.00 -14.6%

BTTS 63.4% 71.4% 1.40 -11.2%

Home O1.5 60.3% 66.7% 1.50 -9.6%

Away O1.5 50.8% 40.0% 2.50 +27.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 51% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

O. Kingsway2.1

Stirling1.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.7% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

O. KINGSWAY · PPG 2.00

STIRLING · PPG 1.67

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

O. Kingsway (H) 50.9%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -15.0%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -8.3%

Stirling (A) 27.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +3.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

O. Kingsway face Stirling in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives O. Kingsway a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Stirling 27%, so O. Kingsway are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for O. Kingsway and 1.5 for Stirling (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, O. Kingsway are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.67 for Stirling. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +27.0%. This match finished 0-3.

O. Kingsway vs Stirling Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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