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NSI Runavik vs B68 Toftir Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Matchday 14 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 18:00

NSI Runavik

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

B68 Toftir

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 76.8% vs bookmaker-implied 84.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-11.8%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.0%1-15.3%1-22.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.5%2-17.9%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.5%3-18.0%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-016.7%4+-112.6%4+-24.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.1% 83.3% 1.20 -17.1%

Draw 18.6% 18.2% 5.50 +1.4%

Away win 12.3% 9.1% 11.00 +21.2%

Over 2.5 65.9% 78.1% 1.28 -15.7%

Over 3.5 42.7% 58.8% 1.70 -27.4%

BTTS 55.3% 63.7% 1.57 -13.2%

Home O1.5 76.8% 84.7% 1.18 -9.4%

Away O1.5 23.2% 28.2% 3.55 -10.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob55.3%

H 69% / xG 3.0-0.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 10.5%

#2 2–0 10.5%

#3 3–1 8.0%

#4 2–1 7.9%

#5 4–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NSI Runavik3.0

B68 Toftir0.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 3.00

B68 TOFTIR · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

NSI Runavik (H) 69.1%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV -17.1%

Draw 18.6%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +1.4%

B68 Toftir (A) 12.3%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV +21.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

NSI Runavik face B68 Toftir in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NSI Runavik a 69% chance, the draw 19% and B68 Toftir 12%, so NSI Runavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for NSI Runavik and 0.8 for B68 Toftir (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NSI Runavik are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.67 for B68 Toftir. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.2%.

NSI Runavik vs B68 Toftir Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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