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Vitebsk vs Dinamo Brest Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Matchday 12 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 15:30

Vitebsk

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Dinamo Brest

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.8%0-116.6%0-27.8%0-32.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-014.1%1-113.2%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-05.6%2-15.2%2-22.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.5%3-11.4%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.8% 30.8% 3.25 +3.4%

Draw 32.6% 32.3% 3.10 +1.1%

Away win 35.6% 48.8% 2.05 -27.0%

Over 2.5 40.1% 50.8% 1.97 -21.0%

Over 3.5 22.9% 31.4% 3.18 -16.3%

BTTS 48.5% 54.1% 1.85 -10.3%

Home O1.5 32.4% 29.2% 3.42 +10.8%

Away O1.5 28.1% 50.3% 1.99 -26.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.8%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.6%

#4 1–0 14.1%

#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitebsk0.8

Dinamo Brest0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.1% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VITEBSK · PPG 1.60

DINAMO BREST · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Vitebsk (H) 31.8%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +3.4%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +1.1%

Dinamo Brest (A) 35.6%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -27.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitebsk face Dinamo Brest in Belarus - Premier League on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitebsk a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Dinamo Brest 36%, so Dinamo Brest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Vitebsk and 0.9 for Dinamo Brest (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitebsk are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.33 for Dinamo Brest. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +10.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Vitebsk vs Dinamo Brest Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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