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TransINVEST vs Kauno Zalgiris Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 13:30

TransINVEST

PPG 1.88 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kauno Zalgiris

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-111.2%0-27.5%0-33.4%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.5%1-112.8%1-28.6%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.4%2-17.3%2-24.9%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.1%3-12.8%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 2.90 +2.7%

Draw 28.1% 3.30 -4.4%

Away win 36.5% 2.20 -19.7%

Over 2.5 49.5% 1.93 -4.5%

Over 3.5 28.3% 3.35 -3.1%

BTTS 52.6% 1.70 -10.6%

Win probability 1X2

TransINVEST (H) 35.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +2.7%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -4.4%

Kauno Zalgiris (A) 36.5%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -19.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 42%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -38.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.6%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.3 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.4%

#3 0–1 11.2%

#4 1–2✓ 8.6%

#5 1–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TransINVEST1.1

Kauno Zalgiris1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TRANSINVEST · PPG 1.88

KAUNO ZALGIRIS · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.88), Away GOOD (1.88)

Match Preview & Prediction

TransINVEST face Kauno Zalgiris in Lithuania - A Lyga on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TransINVEST a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Kauno Zalgiris 37%, so Kauno Zalgiris are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for TransINVEST and 1.3 for Kauno Zalgiris (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TransINVEST are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.88 for Kauno Zalgiris. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.7%. This match finished 1-2.

TransINVEST vs Kauno Zalgiris Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

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