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Incheon W vs Changnyeong W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 10:00

Incheon W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Changnyeong W

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-19.1%0-23.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.0%1-112.6%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-18.7%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.8%3-14.0%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 49.0% — —

Draw 27.4% — —

Away win 23.6% — —

Over 2.5 49.5% — —

Over 3.5 28.3% — —

BTTS 52.6% — —

Win probability 1X2

Incheon W (H) 49.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Changnyeong W (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 29%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 15.0%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Incheon W1.4

Changnyeong W0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

INCHEON W · PPG 1.50

CHANGNYEONG W · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Match Preview & Prediction

Incheon W face Changnyeong W in South-Korea - WK-League on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Incheon W a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Changnyeong W 24%, so Incheon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Incheon W and 0.8 for Changnyeong W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Incheon W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.17 for Changnyeong W. This match finished 3-2.

Incheon W vs Changnyeong W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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