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Slavia Mozyr vs Isloch Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 13:30

Slavia Mozyr logo
Slavia Mozyr
PPG 1.00 · HOME
0 – 2
FULL TIME
Isloch logo
Isloch
PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.7%0-116.6%0-28.3%0-32.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.3%1-113.2%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.3%2-15.2%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.4%3-11.4%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 29.8% 2.70 -11.7%
Draw 33.2% 2.90 -3.7%
Away win 37.0% 2.50 -7.5%
Over 2.5 37.4% 2.26 -15.5%
Over 3.5 20.1% 4.05 -11.2%
BTTS 48.5% 1.85 -10.3%

Win probability 1X2

Slavia Mozyr (H) 29.8%
ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -11.7%
Draw 33.2%
ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -3.7%
Isloch (A) 37.0%
ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -7.5%

League track record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5 54%
BTTS 30%
Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-2
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.5%

D 33% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.7%
#2 1–1 13.2%
#3 0–1 16.6%
#4 1–0 13.3%
#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia Mozyr0.8
Isloch1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA MOZYR · PPG 1.00

ISLOCH · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia Mozyr face Isloch in Belarus - Premier League on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia Mozyr a 30% chance, the draw 33% and Isloch 37%, so Isloch are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Slavia Mozyr and 1.0 for Isloch (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia Mozyr are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Isloch. This match finished 0-2.

PredictVantage

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