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Lambton Jaffas vs Adamstown R. Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 04:00

Lambton Jaffas

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Adamstown R.

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.9% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.2%0-22.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-05.3%1-17.6%1-25.5%1-32.6%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.3%2-19.0%2-26.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.9%3-17.1%3-25.1%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-17.3%4+-25.2%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 53.9% 1.40 -24.5%

Draw 22.3% 4.50 +0.2%

Away win 23.9% 5.50 +18.9%

Over 2.5 65.9% 1.36 -10.4%

Over 3.5 42.7% 1.86 -20.6%

BTTS 63.4% 1.50 -4.9%

Win probability 1X2

Lambton Jaffas (H) 53.9%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -24.5%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +0.2%

Adamstown R. (A) 23.9%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +18.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 28.1%

Bet Hit 85%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.4%

H 54% / xG 2.4-1.4 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.0%

#2 1–1✓ 7.6%

#3 3–1 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lambton Jaffas2.4

Adamstown R.1.4

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LAMBTON JAFFAS · PPG 1.00

ADAMSTOWN R. · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Lambton Jaffas face Adamstown R. in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lambton Jaffas a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Adamstown R. 24%, so Lambton Jaffas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Lambton Jaffas and 1.4 for Adamstown R. (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lambton Jaffas are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Adamstown R.. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +22.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Lambton Jaffas vs Adamstown R. Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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