Today / Athlone W vs Shamrock R. W

Athlone W vs Shamrock R. W Prediction

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Athlone W

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Shamrock R. W

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.0%0-116.4%0-29.0%0-33.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.1%1-113.2%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.8%2-15.3%2-22.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.3%3-11.4%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 32.9% — —

Draw 30.8% — —

Away win 36.4% — —

Over 2.5 44.9% — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — —

BTTS 48.5% — —

Win probability 1X2

Athlone W (H) 32.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shamrock R. W (A) 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

D 31% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.0%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.4%

#4 1–0✓ 12.1%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Athlone W0.8

Shamrock R. W1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ATHLONE W · PPG 3.00

SHAMROCK R. W · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Match Preview & Prediction

Athlone W face Shamrock R. W on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Athlone W a 33% chance, the draw 31% and Shamrock R. W 36%, so Shamrock R. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Athlone W and 1.1 for Shamrock R. W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Athlone W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Shamrock R. W. This match finished 1-0.

Athlone W vs Shamrock R. W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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