Today / Norway - Toppserien / Aalesund W vs Bodo/Glimt W

Aalesund W vs Bodo/Glimt W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 10:00

Aalesund W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

8 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Bodo/Glimt W

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-10.5%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.0%1-12.0%1-20.5%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-08.2%2-14.1%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.4%3-15.7%3-21.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-036.1%4+-118.0%4+-24.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 80.3% — —

Draw 12.6% — —

Away win 7.1% — —

Over 2.5 77.0% — —

Over 3.5 53.2% — —

BTTS 48.5% — —

Win probability 1X2

Aalesund W (H) 80.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 12.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bodo/Glimt W (A) 7.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 28%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 8-1

xG (home)4.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.5%

H 80% / xG 4.1-0.5 / O2.5 77% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 11.8%

#2 3–0 11.4%

#3 5–0 9.8%

#4 2–0 8.2%

#5 4–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aalesund W4.1

Bodo/Glimt W0.5

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.0% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AALESUND W · PPG 2.00

BODO/GLIMT W · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

Match Preview & Prediction

Aalesund W face Bodo/Glimt W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aalesund W a 80% chance, the draw 13% and Bodo/Glimt W 7%, so Aalesund W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.1 for Aalesund W and 0.5 for Bodo/Glimt W (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aalesund W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.20 for Bodo/Glimt W. This match finished 8-1.

Aalesund W vs Bodo/Glimt W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - Toppserien Predictions