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Magni vs Selfoss Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 14:00

Magni

PPG 0.50 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Selfoss

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-13.9%0-26.7%0-37.5%0-4+15.1%1 1-01.2%1-14.2%1-27.1%1-38.0%1-4+16.1%2 2-00.7%2-12.2%2-23.8%2-34.3%2-4+8.6%3 3-00.2%3-10.8%3-21.4%3-31.5%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 12.6% — —

Draw 17.9% — —

Away win 69.5% — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — —

Over 3.5 53.2% — —

BTTS 61.7% — —

Win probability 1X2

Magni (H) 12.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Selfoss (A) 69.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 89%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)3.4 BTTS prob61.7%

A 70% / xG 1.1-3.4 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 8.0%

#2 0–3 7.5%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 1–4 6.8%

#5 0–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Magni1.1

Selfoss3.4

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

MAGNI · PPG 0.50

SELFOSS · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Match Preview & Prediction

Magni face Selfoss in Iceland - 2. Deild on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Magni a 13% chance, the draw 18% and Selfoss 70%, so Selfoss are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Magni and 3.4 for Selfoss (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Magni are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.50 for Selfoss. This match finished 4-1.

Magni vs Selfoss Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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