Today / Hwacheon W vs Sejong W

Hwacheon W vs Sejong W Prediction

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Hwacheon W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Sejong W

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-16.3%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.5%1-110.6%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.9%2-18.9%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.8%3-15.0%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-13.0%4+-21.0%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 57.5% — —

Draw 23.9% — —

Away win 18.7% — —

Over 2.5 49.5% — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — —

BTTS 48.5% — —

Win probability 1X2

Hwacheon W (H) 57.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sejong W (A) 18.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 57% / xG 1.7-0.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.5%

#2 2–0 13.9%

#3 1–1 10.6%

#4 0–0 9.9%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hwacheon W1.7

Sejong W0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HWACHEON W · PPG 2.00

SEJONG W · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.80)

Match Preview & Prediction

Hwacheon W face Sejong W on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hwacheon W a 57% chance, the draw 24% and Sejong W 19%, so Hwacheon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Hwacheon W and 0.6 for Sejong W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hwacheon W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Sejong W. This match finished 3-1.

Hwacheon W vs Sejong W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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