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Ciudad Bolivar vs CA Estudiantes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 4 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 18:00

Ciudad Bolivar

PPG 1.25 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

CA Estudiantes

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-031.2%0-115.5%0-23.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.8%1-110.4%1-22.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.0%2-13.5%2-20.9%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.5%3-10.8%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 2.70 -5.2%

Draw 37.9% 2.60 -1.5%

Away win 27.1% 2.90 -12.8%

Over 2.5 26.7% 3.20 -8.7%

Over 3.5 11.3% 8.00 -5.8%

BTTS 31.6% 2.35 -25.7%

Win probability 1X2

Ciudad Bolivar (H) 35.1%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -5.2%

Draw 37.9%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -1.5%

CA Estudiantes (A) 27.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -12.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob31.6%

D 38% / xG 0.7-0.5 / U2.5 27% / NoBTTS 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 31.2%

#2 1–0 20.8%

#3 0–1 15.5%

#4 1–1 10.4%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ciudad Bolivar0.7

CA Estudiantes0.5

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 26.7% · O3.5 PROB 11.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CIUDAD BOLIVAR · PPG 1.25

CA ESTUDIANTES · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Match Preview & Prediction

Ciudad Bolivar face CA Estudiantes in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ciudad Bolivar a 35% chance, the draw 38% and CA Estudiantes 27%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Ciudad Bolivar and 0.5 for CA Estudiantes (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ciudad Bolivar are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.22 for CA Estudiantes. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +13.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Ciudad Bolivar vs CA Estudiantes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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