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Rosenborg W vs Valerenga W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 15:00

Rosenborg W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Valerenga W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-18.9%0-25.5%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.0%1-112.4%1-27.7%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.0%2-18.7%2-25.4%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.2%3-14.0%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.9%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 42.9% 2.15 -7.8%

Draw 23.7% 3.20 -14.5%

Away win 33.4% 2.80 -6.5%

Over 2.5 58.0% 1.65 -4.3%

Over 3.5 36.9% 2.55 -5.9%

BTTS 60.2% 1.55 -6.7%

Win probability 1X2

Rosenborg W (H) 42.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -7.8%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -14.5%

Valerenga W (A) 33.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -6.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 28%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.2%

H 43% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.2%

#3 2–1 8.7%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosenborg W1.4

Valerenga W1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.0% · O3.5 PROB 36.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENBORG W · PPG 2.00

VALERENGA W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.75)

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosenborg W face Valerenga W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosenborg W a 43% chance, the draw 24% and Valerenga W 33%, so Rosenborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Rosenborg W and 1.2 for Valerenga W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosenborg W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.75 for Valerenga W. This match finished 3-2.

Rosenborg W vs Valerenga W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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