Today / Mungyeong W vs Suwon FMC W

Mungyeong W vs Suwon FMC W Prediction

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Mungyeong W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Suwon FMC W

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-19.4%0-211.3%0-39.1%0-4+9.6%1 1-03.3%1-17.9%1-29.5%1-37.6%1-4+8.0%2 2-01.4%2-13.3%2-24.0%2-33.2%2-4+3.3%3 3-00.4%3-10.9%3-21.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 12.6% — —

Draw 18.0% — —

Away win 69.4% — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — —

Over 3.5 41.4% — —

BTTS 52.6% — —

Win probability 1X2

Mungyeong W (H) 12.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Suwon FMC W (A) 69.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob52.6%

A 69% / xG 0.8-2.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 11.3%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 1–1 7.9%

#4 0–3 9.1%

#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mungyeong W0.8

Suwon FMC W2.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MUNGYEONG W · PPG 1.00

SUWON FMC W · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Mungyeong W face Suwon FMC W on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mungyeong W a 13% chance, the draw 18% and Suwon FMC W 69%, so Suwon FMC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Mungyeong W and 2.4 for Suwon FMC W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mungyeong W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Suwon FMC W. This match finished 0-2.

Mungyeong W vs Suwon FMC W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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