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Balcatta vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 09:00

Balcatta

PPG 0.57 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Perth SC

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-12.4%0-24.1%0-34.7%0-4+9.8%1 1-01.1%1-13.6%1-26.3%1-37.2%1-4+15.0%2 2-00.8%2-12.8%2-24.8%2-35.5%2-4+11.5%3 3-00.4%3-11.4%3-22.4%3-32.8%3-4+5.8%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.8%4+-21.3%4+-31.5%4+-4+3.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 13.3% — —

Draw 17.8% — —

Away win 68.9% — —

Over 2.5 79.9% — —

Over 3.5 53.9% — —

BTTS 68.2% — —

Win probability 1X2

Balcatta (H) 13.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Perth SC (A) 68.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -17.7%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 81%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)3.4 BTTS prob68.2%

A 69% / xG 1.5-3.4 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.2%

#2 1–2 6.3%

#3 1–4 6.2%

#4 2–3 5.5%

#5 2–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Balcatta1.5

Perth SC3.4

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.9% · O3.5 PROB 53.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BALCATTA · PPG 0.57

PERTH SC · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Match Preview & Prediction

Balcatta face Perth SC in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Balcatta a 13% chance, the draw 18% and Perth SC 69%, so Perth SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Balcatta and 3.4 for Perth SC (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Balcatta are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.86 for Perth SC. This match finished 1-1.

Balcatta vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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