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Honefoss W vs Lyn W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 12:30

Honefoss W

PPG 0.75 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Lyn W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-110.3%0-211.2%0-38.2%0-4+7.5%1 1-04.1%1-19.0%1-29.8%1-37.1%1-4+6.5%2 2-01.8%2-13.9%2-24.3%2-33.1%2-4+2.8%3 3-00.5%3-11.1%3-21.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 19.1% — —

Draw 22.3% — —

Away win 58.7% — —

Over 2.5 64.0% — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — —

BTTS 55.9% — —

Win probability 1X2

Honefoss W (H) 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lyn W (A) 58.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 28%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob55.9%

A 59% / xG 0.9-2.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.2%

#2 1–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 9.8%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 0–3 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Honefoss W0.9

Lyn W2.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HONEFOSS W · PPG 0.75

LYN W · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Match Preview & Prediction

Honefoss W face Lyn W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Honefoss W a 19% chance, the draw 22% and Lyn W 59%, so Lyn W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Honefoss W and 2.2 for Lyn W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Honefoss W are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.40 for Lyn W. This match finished 1-0.

Honefoss W vs Lyn W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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