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Sydney Olympic vs Rockdale Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 07:00

Sydney Olympic

PPG 0.56 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Rockdale

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.8% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-19.3%0-28.7%0-35.4%0-4+3.9%1 1-05.6%1-110.5%1-29.8%1-36.1%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.2%2-16.0%2-25.6%2-33.5%2-4+2.5%3 3-01.2%3-12.3%3-22.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 24.8% 5.10 +15.9%

Draw 24.6% 3.85 -3.2%

Away win 50.6% 1.55 -21.6%

Over 2.5 59.8% 1.60 -4.3%

Over 3.5 36.6% 2.45 -10.3%

BTTS 55.9% 1.60 -10.6%

Win probability 1X2

Sydney Olympic (H) 24.8%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +15.9%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -3.2%

Rockdale (A) 50.6%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -21.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.5%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob55.9%

A 51% / xG 1.1-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.7%

#4 0–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney Olympic1.1

Rockdale1.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY OLYMPIC · PPG 0.56

ROCKDALE · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home POOR (0.56)

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney Olympic face Rockdale in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney Olympic a 25% chance, the draw 25% and Rockdale 51%, so Rockdale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sydney Olympic and 1.9 for Rockdale (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney Olympic are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 1.56 for Rockdale. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.9%. This match finished 0-4.

Sydney Olympic vs Rockdale Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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