Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Levanger vs Skeid

Levanger vs Skeid Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 12:00

Levanger

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Skeid

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-14.0%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.5%1-18.9%1-24.2%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.4%2-19.8%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.7%3-17.2%3-23.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-07.1%4+-16.7%4+-23.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 57.2% 1.77 +1.2%

Draw 22.5% 3.80 -8.7%

Away win 20.3% 3.65 -15.5%

Over 2.5 63.1% 1.53 -3.5%

Over 3.5 40.0% 2.35 -6.0%

BTTS 55.9% 1.48 -17.3%

Win probability 1X2

Levanger (H) 57.2%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV +1.2%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -8.7%

Skeid (A) 20.3%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -15.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.9%

H 57% / xG 2.2-0.9 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.4%

#2 1–1 8.9%

#3 2–1✓ 9.8%

#4 1–0 9.5%

#5 3–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Levanger2.2

Skeid0.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LEVANGER · PPG 1.50

SKEID · PPG 0.60

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=57.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Levanger face Skeid in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levanger a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Skeid 20%, so Levanger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Levanger and 0.9 for Skeid (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levanger are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.60 for Skeid. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +15.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Levanger vs Skeid Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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