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Pors Grenland vs Eik Tonsberg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 12:00

Pors Grenland

PPG 0.80 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Eik Tonsberg

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-18.1%0-22.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.5%1-111.7%1-23.9%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.6%2-18.4%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.1%3-14.0%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 52.7% 1.55 -18.3%

Draw 27.3% 4.00 +5.5%

Away win 20.0% 5.00 0.0%

Over 2.5 47.6% 1.62 -22.9%

Over 3.5 28.1% 2.50 -17.8%

BTTS 48.5% 1.65 -20.0%

Win probability 1X2

Pors Grenland (H) 52.7%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -18.3%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +5.5%

Eik Tonsberg (A) 20.0%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV 0.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 28%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -61.8%

Bet Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.5%

H 53% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.5%

#2 0–0 12.1%

#3 1–1 11.7%

#4 2–0✓ 12.6%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pors Grenland1.4

Eik Tonsberg0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PORS GRENLAND · PPG 0.80

EIK TONSBERG · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Match Preview & Prediction

Pors Grenland face Eik Tonsberg in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pors Grenland a 53% chance, the draw 27% and Eik Tonsberg 20%, so Pors Grenland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Pors Grenland and 0.7 for Eik Tonsberg (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pors Grenland are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 0.00 for Eik Tonsberg. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Pors Grenland vs Eik Tonsberg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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