Today / Iceland - 2. Deild / KFG vs Dalvik.Reynir

KFG vs Dalvik.Reynir Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 15:00

KFG

PPG 1.80 · HOME

0 – 6

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Dalvik.Reynir

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 66.2% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.9%0-23.7%0-32.3%0-4+1.7%1 1-04.1%1-17.7%1-27.3%1-34.6%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.1%2-17.7%2-27.3%2-34.6%2-4+3.3%3 3-02.7%3-15.1%3-24.9%3-33.1%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-14.1%4+-23.8%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 43.6% 3.90 +70.0%

Draw 21.7% 3.75 -11.2%

Away win 34.7% 1.67 -42.0%

Over 2.5 65.9% 1.36 -10.4%

Over 3.5 45.4% 1.83 -16.9%

BTTS 66.2% 1.36 -10.0%

Win probability 1X2

KFG (H) 43.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +70.0%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -11.2%

Dalvik.Reynir (A) 34.7%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -42.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 89%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-6

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob66.2%

H 44% / xG 2.0-1.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 2–1 7.7%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KFG2.0

Dalvik.Reynir1.9

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KFG · PPG 1.80

DALVIK.REYNIR · PPG 0.75

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=43.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

KFG face Dalvik.Reynir in Iceland - 2. Deild on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KFG a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Dalvik.Reynir 35%, so KFG are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for KFG and 1.9 for Dalvik.Reynir (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KFG are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.75 for Dalvik.Reynir. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +70.0%. This match finished 0-6.

KFG vs Dalvik.Reynir Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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