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Sandviken vs Lysekloster Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 12:00

Sandviken

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Lysekloster

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=50.3%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-16.8%0-23.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.6%1-111.5%1-26.2%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.9%2-19.7%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.0%3-15.4%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.3%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 50.3% — —

Draw 25.1% — —

Away win 24.6% — —

Over 2.5 54.0% — —

Over 3.5 32.6% — —

BTTS 55.9% — —

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 50.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lysekloster (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 28%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -61.8%

Bet Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.9%

H 50% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken1.7

Lysekloster1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.50

LYSEKLOSTER · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=50.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face Lysekloster in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 50% chance, the draw 25% and Lysekloster 25%, so Sandviken are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sandviken and 1.1 for Lysekloster (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.40 for Lysekloster. This match finished 2-3.

Sandviken vs Lysekloster Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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