Today / Australia - Western Australia NPL / Perth Glory B vs Perth RedStar

Perth Glory B vs Perth RedStar Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 07:00

Perth Glory B

PPG 1.20 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Perth RedStar

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.9% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-15.2%0-25.7%0-34.2%0-4+3.9%1 1-03.6%1-18.0%1-28.8%1-36.5%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.8%2-16.2%2-26.8%2-35.0%2-4+4.6%3 3-01.4%3-13.2%3-23.5%3-32.6%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.7%4+-21.9%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 28.6% 3.10 -6.8%

Draw 22.0% 3.50 -13.8%

Away win 49.3% 1.95 -3.9%

Over 2.5 65.9% 1.40 -7.7%

Over 3.5 42.7% 2.00 -14.6%

BTTS 63.4% 1.40 -11.2%

Win probability 1X2

Perth Glory B (H) 28.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -6.8%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -13.8%

Perth RedStar (A) 49.3%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -3.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -17.7%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.4%

A 49% / xG 1.5-2.2 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%

#2 1–2✓ 8.8%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Perth Glory B1.5

Perth RedStar2.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PERTH GLORY B · PPG 1.20

PERTH REDSTAR · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Match Preview & Prediction

Perth Glory B face Perth RedStar in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Perth Glory B a 29% chance, the draw 22% and Perth RedStar 49%, so Perth RedStar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Perth Glory B and 2.2 for Perth RedStar (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Perth Glory B are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.75 for Perth RedStar. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +8.2%. This match finished 1-2.

Perth Glory B vs Perth RedStar Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Western Australia NPL Predictions