Today / Tigers FC vs C. Croatia

Tigers FC vs C. Croatia Prediction

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Tigers FC

PPG 2.57 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

C. Croatia

PPG 2.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.7%0-22.1%0-31.6%0-4+1.7%1 1-01.9%1-14.4%1-25.3%1-34.2%1-4+4.4%2 2-02.4%2-15.6%2-26.7%2-35.3%2-4+5.5%3 3-02.0%3-14.7%3-25.6%3-34.5%3-4+4.7%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-15.5%4+-26.6%4+-35.2%4+-4+5.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 46.4% — —

Draw 20.0% — —

Away win 33.6% — —

Over 2.5 77.8% — —

Over 3.5 53.2% — —

BTTS 68.4% — —

Win probability 1X2

Tigers FC (H) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

C. Croatia (A) 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob68.4%

H 46% / xG 2.5-2.4 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.7%

#2 3–2 5.6%

#3 2–1 5.6%

#4 2–3 5.3%

#5 1–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tigers FC2.5

C. Croatia2.4

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.8% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TIGERS FC · PPG 2.57

C. CROATIA · PPG 2.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.57), Away EXCELLENT (2.57)

Match Preview & Prediction

Tigers FC face C. Croatia on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tigers FC a 46% chance, the draw 20% and C. Croatia 34%, so Tigers FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Tigers FC and 2.4 for C. Croatia (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tigers FC are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 2.57 for C. Croatia. This match finished 1-1.

Tigers FC vs C. Croatia Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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