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Manly Utd vs S George Saints Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 07:00

Manly Utd

PPG 1.44 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

S George Saints

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-111.5%0-25.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.6%1-113.3%1-26.1%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.5%2-17.7%2-23.5%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.3%3-13.0%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 40.8% 2.25 -8.2%

Draw 30.9% 3.55 +9.7%

Away win 28.3% 2.70 -14.1%

Over 2.5 43.6% 1.77 -22.8%

Over 3.5 22.9% 2.95 -19.5%

BTTS 48.5% 1.62 -21.4%

Win probability 1X2

Manly Utd (H) 40.8%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -8.2%

Draw 30.9%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +9.7%

S George Saints (A) 28.3%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -14.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.5%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

H 41% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–0 14.6%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–0✓ 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Manly Utd1.2

S George Saints0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MANLY UTD · PPG 1.44

S GEORGE SAINTS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Manly Utd face S George Saints in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manly Utd a 41% chance, the draw 31% and S George Saints 28%, so Manly Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Manly Utd and 0.9 for S George Saints (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manly Utd are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.00 for S George Saints. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +9.7%. This match finished 2-0.

Manly Utd vs S George Saints Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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