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WS Wanderers B vs Sutherland S. Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, June 20, 2026, 05:00

WS Wanderers B

PPG 0.78 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sutherland S.

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-18.2%0-24.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.5%1-112.2%1-27.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.9%2-19.1%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.9%3-14.5%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 46.4% 2.05 -4.9%

Draw 25.4% 3.40 -8.2%

Away win 28.2% 3.10 -7.5%

Over 2.5 54.0% 1.60 -13.6%

Over 3.5 32.6% 2.45 -20.1%

BTTS 55.9% 1.48 -17.3%

Win probability 1X2

WS Wanderers B (H) 46.4%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -4.9%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -8.2%

Sutherland S. (A) 28.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.5%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.9%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 0–0 7.1%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

WS Wanderers B1.5

Sutherland S.1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WS WANDERERS B · PPG 0.78

SUTHERLAND S. · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...

48%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.40) strong but model favors Home (P=46.4%)

Match Preview & Prediction

WS Wanderers B face Sutherland S. in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives WS Wanderers B a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Sutherland S. 28%, so WS Wanderers B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for WS Wanderers B and 1.2 for Sutherland S. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, WS Wanderers B are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 1.40 for Sutherland S.. This match finished 0-3.

WS Wanderers B vs Sutherland S. Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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