Football predictions today · Wed 6 May

205 graded O2.5 59% BTTS 56% 1X2 48% Full record →
63 matches · all kick-off times UTC
China flag China - Super League Regular Season - 10 2 League predictions →
Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Regular Season - 25 3 League predictions →
12:00
H
27.6% +0.4%
D
27.0% -1.7%
A
45.4% -20.5%
BTTS
O2.5 53.1% · BTTS 54.6%
Score
1–2
1–1
Hit
Georgia flag Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Regular Season - 11 4 League predictions →
Poland flag Poland - Ekstraliga Women Regular Season - 13 1 League predictions →
Albania flag Albania - Superliga Regular Season - 35 5 League predictions →
India flag India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 12 1 League predictions →
United-Arab-Emirates flag United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League Regular Season - 24 3 League predictions →
Czech-Republic flag Czech-Republic - FNL Regular Season - 27 7 League predictions →
France flag France - Feminine Division 1 Regular Season - 22 6 League predictions →
Georgia flag Georgia - Erovnuli Liga Regular Season - 11 2 League predictions →
Latvia flag Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 11 1 League predictions →
Lithuania flag Lithuania - A Lyga Regular Season - 12 3 League predictions →
Germany flag Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Regular Season - 24 1 League predictions →
Morocco flag Morocco - Botola Pro Regular Season - 19 3 League predictions →
18:00
H
45.4% -38.3%
D
33.2% +29.5%
A
21.3% +47.3%
No bet
O2.5 35.1% · BTTS 44.8%
Score
2–0
2–0
Skipped
Germany flag Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg Hamburg - 24 1 League predictions →
South-Africa flag South-Africa - Premier Soccer League Regular Season - 27 4 League predictions →
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 28 1 League predictions →
Jamaica flag Jamaica - Premier League Regular Season - 39 7 League predictions →
USA flag USA - USL Super League Regular Season - 28 1 League predictions →
— Unknown — 7 League predictions →

How the model calls it

01 · Strength

Attack and defence ratings per team from recent form, weighted by opposition — the inputs behind expected goals.

02 · Poisson

Goal expectancies become a full scoreline matrix: win, draw, Over 2.5, BTTS and top correct scores from one distribution.

03 · Edge

Model probability vs live bookmaker odds. A positive gap is value, flagged on every outcome as +EV%. No edge, no bet.

Questions, answered straight

How accurate are these football predictions?

Every pick is graded automatically at full time and kept on the public record. The full history, including losing days, is on the Accuracy page.

What is a value bet?

A bet where the model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. If the model says 49% and the odds imply 34%, that gap is the edge — shown as +EV% next to each outcome. Value bets can still lose; the point is being paid more than the risk is worth over hundreds of bets.

How does a Poisson model predict matches?

It estimates how many goals each team is expected to score from attack and defence strength, then computes the probability of every scoreline. Summing those scorelines gives win/draw/loss, Over/Under and BTTS probabilities from a single consistent model.

Are the predictions free?

Yes — every match, every league, every day.

Why does the model say "No bet" on some matches?

When no outcome clears the confidence threshold, the model passes. Skipping bad spots is part of how the hit rate stays honest — a tip site that picks every match is selling volume, not edge.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org