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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta
Regular Season - 25
Wednesday, May 6, 2026
12:00
Zaqatala
PPG 1.18
0-3
MISS
Sebail
PPG 1.73
Draw· -2.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
15.3%
Odds: 5.10
EV: -13.2%
Draw
26.3%
Odds: 3.65
EV: -2.4%
Away
58.5%
Odds: 1.53
EV: -10.5%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.5%
Odds: 1.65
-23.3%
Over 3.5
24.8%
Odds: 2.70
-19.8%
BTTS
51.1%
Odds: 1.75
-10.6%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
0-2
✘
4th
0-0
✘
5th
1-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Zaqatala
0.77
Sebail
1.75
Model Suggestion
Away
-10.5%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -10.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.73) vs Home AVERAGE (1.18)