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Marumo G. vs TS Galaxy Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 17:30

Marumo G.

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

TS Galaxy

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.1%0-114.8%0-26.8%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.6%1-113.4%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.6%2-16.1%2-22.8%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.0%3-11.8%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.7% 40.8% 2.45 -17.4%

Draw 32.5% 32.8% 3.05 -0.9%

Away win 33.8% 33.3% 3.00 +1.4%

Over 2.5 35.1% 36.4% 2.75 -3.5%

Over 3.5 11.3% 17.4% 5.75 -21.0%

BTTS 48.2% 46.5% 2.15 +3.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -23.2%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.2%

D 32% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.1%

#2 1–1✓ 13.4%

#3 0–1 14.8%

#4 1–0 14.6%

#5 0–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marumo G.0.9

TS Galaxy0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 11.3%

Form & verdict PPG

MARUMO G. · PPG 1.00

TS GALAXY · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.69)

Win probability 1X2

Marumo G. (H) 33.7%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -17.4%

Draw 32.5%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -0.9%

TS Galaxy (A) 33.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +1.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Marumo G. face TS Galaxy in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marumo G. a 34% chance, the draw 33% and TS Galaxy 34%, so TS Galaxy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Marumo G. and 0.9 for TS Galaxy (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marumo G. are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.69 for TS Galaxy. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +3.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Marumo G. vs TS Galaxy Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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